Hank Gross is reporting that a poll commissioned by Chris Gibson’s campaign has the incumbent Congressman leading challenger Sean Eldridge 56%-30%, leaving 14% undecided.
Generally, polls conducted on behalf of candidates tend to be less objective than independent surveys. The result is, however, in line with a September poll by Siena College, which pegged Gibson’s lead at 24%. If accurate, this would mean that some six weeks of heavy advertising has not measurably moved the needle for either candidate.
Voters who are still undecided this late in a campaign are more likely to either stay home or lean toward the challenger, since they still haven't been convinced to support the better-known incumbent. But even if Eldridge picks up most of the undecideds, that would leave him some 15-20 points behind.
Gross’s report can be read at